Systematic reviews of prognostic studies III: meta-analytical approaches in systematic reviews of prognostic studies

Article type
Authors
Debray T1, Damen J2, Moons K1, Riley R3, Cochrane Prognosis Methods Group 4
1Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care
2Cochrane Netherlands
3Prognosis Methods Group
4Cochrane
Abstract
Background:
Prediction models are commonly developed and validated for predicting the presence (diagnostic) or future occurrence (prognostic) of a particular outcome. Prediction models have become abundant in the literature. Many models have been validated in numerous different studies/publications. In addition, numerous studies have investigated the (added) value of a prognostic factor/predictor/biomarker to existing predictors. In both situations, aggregating such data is important for making inferences on the predictive performance of a specific model or predictor/marker. Meta-analytical approaches for both situations have recently been developed.

Objectives:
This workshop introduces participants to statistical methods for meta-analysis in systematic reviews of prognosis studies. We address both meta-analysis of the accuracy of a prognostic model and of the (added) predictive value of a prognostic factor. We discuss the opportunities/challenges of the statistical methods and common software packages.

Description:
In this workshop we illustrate these statistical approaches and how to combine - quantitatively - results from published studies on the predictive accuracy of a prognostic model or (added) predictive accuracy of a prognostic factor. We illustrate this with various empirical examples.